Sep 04, 2018 PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum. Win Total Over-Unders for 2018. Win Total Over-Unders for 2018. Thread starter IceIceBrady; Start date Sep 4, 2018; 2020 Patriots Season: Upcoming Opponent.

In the aftermath of the NFL draft, Las Vegas sports books released their win projections for every team for the upcoming 2018 season. Touchdown Wire breaks down all 32 teams, taking a look at the good, the bad and the Cleveland.

Patriots Over Under Wins

• In the Patriots' 58-year history, they have an overall regular season record of 500 wins, 391 losses, and 9 ties, plus an overall postseason record of 37 wins and 20 losses. In the 2018 NFL season, the Patriots reached their 11th Super Bowl, breaking their own record for most Super Bowl appearances by any organization of all time.
• Over/unders for the New England Patriots 2018 season, including total wins, Tom Brady passing stats, Sony Michel yards.
• Over/unders for the New England Patriots 2018 season, including total wins, Tom Brady passing stats, Sony Michel yards.

No surprises here: The highest win totals belong to the four winningest teams of 2017 and a Green Bay team that returns Aaron Rodgers. If 10.5 seems low for the Vikings, Patriots, Eagles and Steelers – four teams that each went 13-3 last year – it is, but remember that each team’s win total isn’t necessarily a prediction on how oddsmakers think teams will do, but a projection of what they think the public believes. Ideally, they want a 50/50 split on over bets and under bets. Put a normal team at 11.5 wins and you’re inviting bettors to hammer the under. (Only 13 teams since 2001 have had their total set at 11.5 wins or higher.)

Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 Nfl

The Patriots over/under was set at 12.5 last season, the highest total in all that time. (That was a half-win better than the team’s over/under in 2008, the year after their 16-0 season). No matter how highly you regard Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, predicting a team to win more than 12.5 games is the height of imprudence. So, of course, New England hit the over, winning 13 games.

Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 World Series

What about this year? A look at the juice* suggests that action is on the Pats to go over 10.5 wins (they’ve done it 14 of the last 16 years), the Packers to go under (it’s happened four of the last five years) and an even split for the Vikings (a new quarterback in Kirk Cousins, so buyer beware), the Steelers (they’ve won 11+ games in eight of Ben Roethlisberger’s 14 seasons) and the Eagles (of the last 10 reigning Super Bowl champions, six finished with a win total of 11 or more in the year of their title defense. None had a losing record though, so expect Philly to be close either way.

Patriots Over Under Wins 2018 World Cup

* A bettor would have to wager $175 to win $100 on the Patriots over. Conversely, a $100 bet on the Packers under would net $145.